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What's this?

That is rate for people testing positive -- not overall population

328.2 million people in America. As of a couple days ago 633, 775 people had tested positive. That is about 0.19% of the general population. Of the positives, 138, 101 had died. That is 0.09% of total population.

This is a new, different, and nasty disease. The death rate -- having started from zero -- can't do anything but increase. So how informative is it as a metric?

(In response to this post by WestyHokie)

Posted: 04/18/2020 at 11:19AM

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Current Thread:

US fatality rate 5.2% and still climbing (source: JH site) -- WestyHokie 04/18/2020 09:45AM

Since the majority of confirmed cases are severe enough to get medical -- Vienna_Hokie 04/18/2020 1:37PM

Dirty data in and dirty data out -- turkeywinghokie 04/18/2020 1:33PM

Most all NYC kids have already had coronavirus -- lchoro 04/18/2020 12:04PM

That is rate for people testing positive -- not overall population -- Hokie Fiji 04/18/2020 11:19AM

Hard time believing it is that high, but 1/1000 have died in NYC -- Air-Ic 04/18/2020 10:28AM

That does appear to be the overall probability -- Hokie Fiji 04/18/2020 11:28AM

Probably need to look at South Korea as the best example of a very large -- Tuckahokie 04/18/2020 10:20AM

Iceland is a much better data source. They've tested > 11% of their entire -- HokieEngineer 04/18/2020 2:35PM

Actually we're testing more, per capita, than S. Korea. 1.08% > 1.05% -- LaneRat 04/18/2020 10:31AM

They also started testing earlier ** -- Air-Ic 04/18/2020 11:29AM

Seems to me it is the % of population that matters when trying to re-open. ** -- Femoyer Hokie 04/18/2020 11:26AM

Definitely need to look at North Korea as well -- JoesterVT 04/18/2020 10:29AM

I doubt people socialize much in NKO so it may not spread fast. ** -- Hoakie82 04/18/2020 7:03PM

NK must be running out of ammo if they have no cases still. ** -- PhotoHokieNC 04/18/2020 11:06AM

Can you provise a link please? ** -- LaneRat 04/18/2020 09:59AM

He said the JH site. But when I run the numbers there it's closer to 4.5% -- JoesterVT 04/18/2020 10:06AM

It's bad math...limited testing only testing the sickest patients... -- JoesterVT 04/18/2020 09:57AM

Except testing has expanded, and the fatality rate const. increased -- WestyHokie 04/18/2020 12:11PM

Yesterday, VDH specifically said they are limiting testing outside of... -- JoesterVT 04/18/2020 12:25PM

^^This^^ Not at all hard to understand, but you really have to dig to find -- LaneRat 04/18/2020 10:10AM

Yep. The denominator remains very unk. ** -- ColoVT82 04/18/2020 10:12AM

Doesn't jive with the Stanford antibody study -- EDGEMAN 04/18/2020 09:53AM

Also note results on town near boston...146/397 random positive...wonder -- ColoVT82 04/18/2020 10:03AM

Who knows? -- EDGEMAN 04/18/2020 10:13AM

Oh, you bet there is. They cant even get day of update actuals correct ** -- ColoVT82 04/18/2020 10:15AM

What has happened to science? ** -- LaneRat 04/18/2020 10:20AM

The word that is not to be spoken ** -- HokieForever 04/18/2020 10:53AM